ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212006 0900 UTC FRI NOV 17 2006 INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SERGIO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 102.8W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 45NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 102.8W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 102.7W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.6N 103.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.2N 103.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.9N 104.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.7N 105.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 21.0N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 102.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 17-Nov-2006 08:40:03 UTC