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Tropical Storm ROSA (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192006               
2100 UTC THU NOV 09 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 162N 1055W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 162N 1055W 50  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 162N 1055W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 166N 1057W 34 29   4(33)   2(35)   1(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 24 166N 1057W 50  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 166N 1057W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 170N 1060W 34 12   7(19)   3(22)   1(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 170N 1060W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 170N 1060W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 175N 1065W 34  3   4( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 175N 1065W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 175N 1065W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 185N 1075W 34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 72 185N 1075W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 185N 1075W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 190N 1085W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 96 190N 1085W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 190N 1085W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      25      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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