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TROPICAL STORM ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192006
1500 UTC THU NOV 09 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 164N 1057W 34 34 5(39) 1(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
12 164N 1057W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 164N 1057W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 168N 1061W 34 13 11(24) 2(26) X(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
24 168N 1061W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 168N 1061W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 172N 1065W 34 2 8(10) 5(15) 2(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20)
36 172N 1065W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 172N 1065W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 176N 1070W 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
48 176N 1070W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 176N 1070W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 180N 1080W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)
72 180N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 180N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 180N 1085W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
96 180N 1085W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 180N 1085W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 25 25 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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