ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM PAUL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 0300 UTC WED OCT 25 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 16 6(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAN JOSE CABO 34 12 7(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULICAN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 220N 1098W 34 52 3(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 12 220N 1098W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 220N 1098W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 226N 1088W 34 14 12(26) 2(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 24 226N 1088W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 226N 1088W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 231N 1078W 34 3 7(10) 5(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 231N 1078W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 231N 1078W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 236N 1066W 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 48 236N 1066W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 236N 1066W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 25-Oct-2006 02:40:03 UTC