| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression PAUL (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
200 AM PDT THU OCT 26 2006
 
PAUL MADE LANDFALL NEAR LA REFORMA MEXICO AROUND 0500 UTC...AND THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW DISSIPATING OVER LAND.  SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS PAUL AS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF ANY DEEP
CONVECTION.  THE SURFACE CIRCULATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE DISRUPTED
BY THE HIGH TERRAIN OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SHOULD DISSIPATE LATER
TODAY.  HOWEVER...THE REMNANTS OF PAUL COULD STILL POSE A RAINFALL
THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. 

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 020/7...AND A NORTH-NORTHEAST MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. 

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON PAUL. 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      26/0900Z 25.2N 107.8W    25 KT
 12HR VT     26/1800Z 26.2N 107.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
 
NNNN