ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006 200 PM PDT SUN OCT 15 2006 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO HAVE NOT PROVIDED ANY CONCLUSIVE EVIDENCE AS TO WHETHER OR NOT THE CENTER OF NORMAN MOVED INLAND...AND THE DATA SUGGEST THAT NORMAN LACKS A CLOSED CIRCULATION. THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND RESEMBLES THAT OF AN OPEN TROUGH RATHER THAN A TROPICAL CYCLONE. MICROWAVE DATA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS HAVE ALSO PROVIDED NO INDICATION OF A CIRCULATION CENTER. BASED ON THESE DATA...NORMAN IS BEING DECLARED DISSIPATING ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE LARGE AND BROAD SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHWEST MEXICO...AND IT COULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THIS RAINFALL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON NORMAN UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 19.2N 104.7W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 15-Oct-2006 20:35:03 UTC