ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 0300 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) P ABREOJOS 34 9 15(24) 2(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) P ABREOJOS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) LORETO 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P PENASCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GUAYMAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 264N 1125W 34 60 7(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) 12 264N 1125W 50 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 12 264N 1125W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 274N 1136W 34 6 19(25) 4(29) X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) 24 274N 1136W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 274N 1136W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 283N 1146W 34 1 7( 8) 8(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 36 283N 1146W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 283N 1146W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 290N 1155W 34 1 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) 48 290N 1155W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 290N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 295N 1170W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 72 295N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 295N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 295N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 295N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 295N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 35 30 25 20 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC