ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 0900 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTHWARD FROM SAN EVERISTO TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO RECOMMENDED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS RECOMMENDED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO NORTHWARDTO MULEGE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 108.8W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 108.8W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.5W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.8N 110.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.9N 111.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.8N 112.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.4N 114.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.3N 116.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 26.8N 119.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 27.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC