ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2006 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO SAN BLAS...AND FOR ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM LA PAS SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.3W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 140SE 120SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.3W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.9W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.0N 106.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.6N 108.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.7N 109.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.4N 110.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 24.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC