ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006 0900 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 216N 1175W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 216N 1175W 50 70 5(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 12 216N 1175W 64 36 3(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 24 220N 1184W 34 63 15(78) 2(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 24 220N 1184W 50 14 22(36) 1(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 24 220N 1184W 64 3 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 221N 1194W 34 18 25(43) 6(49) 2(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53) 36 221N 1194W 50 1 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 36 221N 1194W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 220N 1206W 34 5 10(15) 8(23) 3(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) 48 220N 1206W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 220N 1206W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 216N 1222W 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) 72 216N 1222W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 216N 1222W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 210N 1240W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 96 210N 1240W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 210N 1240W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 55 40 30 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FIORINO/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC