ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006 2100 UTC WED AUG 23 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA CLARION 34 61 6(67) 1(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) ISLA CLARION 50 7 4(11) X(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ISLA CLARION 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 198N 1142W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 198N 1142W 50 83 8(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 12 198N 1142W 64 47 18(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 24 205N 1160W 34 29 60(89) 5(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) 24 205N 1160W 50 3 56(59) 7(66) 1(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) 24 205N 1160W 64 X 32(32) 10(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 36 211N 1173W 34 2 50(52) 24(76) 3(79) 1(80) X(80) 1(81) 36 211N 1173W 50 X 16(16) 25(41) 4(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 36 211N 1173W 64 X 5( 5) 16(21) 2(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 48 215N 1182W 34 2 21(23) 32(55) 8(63) 4(67) X(67) X(67) 48 215N 1182W 50 X 4( 4) 18(22) 7(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) 48 215N 1182W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 72 222N 1200W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 10(28) 10(38) 1(39) X(39) 72 222N 1200W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) 72 222N 1200W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 96 225N 1215W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 8(18) 2(20) 1(21) 96 225N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 225N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 225N 1235W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 120 225N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 225N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 115 105 85 70 50 35 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC