ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006 1500 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 37(41) 30(71) 3(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 8( 8) 26(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ISLA CLARION 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 24(55) 8(63) X(63) X(63) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 7(33) X(33) X(33) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 158N 1084W 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 158N 1084W 50 81 9(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 12 158N 1084W 64 15 10(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 24 171N 1105W 34 20 65(85) 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 24 171N 1105W 50 1 58(59) 11(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 24 171N 1105W 64 X 21(21) 10(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 36 185N 1127W 34 2 18(20) 52(72) 11(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) 36 185N 1127W 50 X 3( 3) 42(45) 13(58) 1(59) 1(60) X(60) 36 185N 1127W 64 X 1( 1) 18(19) 9(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) 48 197N 1147W 34 X 2( 2) 26(28) 34(62) 14(76) 1(77) X(77) 48 197N 1147W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) 11(46) X(46) X(46) 48 197N 1147W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) 72 216N 1178W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 35(46) 7(53) 1(54) 72 216N 1178W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 3(23) X(23) 72 216N 1178W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) 96 225N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 12(33) 1(34) 96 225N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) 96 225N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 120 230N 1225W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 2(14) 120 230N 1225W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 230N 1225W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 75 85 90 85 65 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC