ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006 200 AM PDT SUN AUG 27 2006 ANY DEEP CONVECTION IS TOTALLY GONE WITH ONLY THE LOW-LEVEL SWIRL REMAINING. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE ALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STATUS AND THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KT. THE DEPRESSION MAY HAVE ALREADY TRANSITIONED TO REMNANT LOW STATUS BUT WE WILL KEEP ADVISORIES GOING FOR ONE MORE CYCLE. ILEANA WILL LIKELY TRANSITION INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY DUE TO CONTINUED COLD WATER INFLUENCES. THE INTENSITY FORECAST ASSUMES A SLOW SPINDOWN OF THE VORTEX. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 23.4N 120.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 27/1800Z 23.6N 121.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 28/0600Z 23.7N 122.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 28/1800Z 23.7N 124.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC