ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 2100 UTC WED AUG 16 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 141N 1190W 34 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 141N 1190W 50 44 19(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 12 141N 1190W 64 16 11(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 146N 1207W 34 13 66(79) 10(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 24 146N 1207W 50 1 38(39) 12(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 24 146N 1207W 64 X 18(18) 8(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 36 152N 1226W 34 1 21(22) 45(67) 11(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) 36 152N 1226W 50 X 3( 3) 28(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) 36 152N 1226W 64 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 48 162N 1248W 34 X 2( 2) 18(20) 33(53) 13(66) X(66) X(66) 48 162N 1248W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 7(28) X(28) X(28) 48 162N 1248W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 72 180N 1285W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 6(39) X(39) 72 180N 1285W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 180N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 200N 1320W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) 96 200N 1320W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 96 200N 1320W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 215N 1340W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 120 215N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 215N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 75 65 45 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC