ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0900 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LA PAZ 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 90 7(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) ISLA SOCORRO 50 54 20(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) ISLA SOCORRO 64 15 18(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) ISLA CLARION 34 3 11(14) 11(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) ISLA CLARION 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 188N 1108W 34 93 5(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 188N 1108W 50 59 18(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 12 188N 1108W 64 19 13(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 24 198N 1123W 34 16 68(84) 7(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) 24 198N 1123W 50 1 51(52) 13(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) 24 198N 1123W 64 X 23(23) 10(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 36 208N 1137W 34 3 34(37) 35(72) 7(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) 36 208N 1137W 50 X 10(10) 29(39) 7(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) 36 208N 1137W 64 X 3( 3) 16(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 48 218N 1150W 34 1 8( 9) 30(39) 18(57) 7(64) X(64) X(64) 48 218N 1150W 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22) 5(27) X(27) X(27) 48 218N 1150W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 72 238N 1180W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 14(22) 2(24) X(24) 72 238N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 238N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 255N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 96 255N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 255N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 80 80 65 40 25 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC