ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 17(28) 9(37) X(37) X(37) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 15(23) 7(30) 1(31) X(31) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 10(21) 1(22) X(22) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) CULICAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 11(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 185N 1063W 34 50 18(68) 1(69) X(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) 12 185N 1063W 50 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 12 185N 1063W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 197N 1080W 34 1 51(52) 13(65) 4(69) X(69) 1(70) X(70) 24 197N 1080W 50 X 16(16) 11(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 24 197N 1080W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 205N 1095W 34 X 11(11) 42(53) 13(66) 4(70) X(70) X(70) 36 205N 1095W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 10(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) 36 205N 1095W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 48 212N 1110W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 26(51) 12(63) 1(64) X(64) 48 212N 1110W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28) 48 212N 1110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 72 230N 1140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 27(36) 6(42) 1(43) 72 230N 1140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) 72 230N 1140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 245N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) 1(20) 96 245N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 96 245N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 260N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 120 260N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 260N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 55 65 75 65 45 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC