ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 141N 1313W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 141N 1313W 50 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 141N 1313W 64 72 11(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) 24 145N 1332W 34 29 59(88) 6(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) 24 145N 1332W 50 4 64(68) 9(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 24 145N 1332W 64 1 44(45) 10(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 36 149N 1348W 34 2 41(43) 33(76) 4(80) 2(82) 1(83) X(83) 36 149N 1348W 50 X 15(15) 35(50) 5(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) 36 149N 1348W 64 X 6( 6) 24(30) 4(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) 48 152N 1360W 34 1 11(12) 38(50) 12(62) 6(68) 1(69) X(69) 48 152N 1360W 50 X 2( 2) 21(23) 10(33) 5(38) X(38) 1(39) 48 152N 1360W 64 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) 72 160N 1380W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 13(25) 12(37) 4(41) 1(42) 72 160N 1380W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 2(15) X(15) 72 160N 1380W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 96 175N 1395W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) 1(21) 96 175N 1395W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 96 175N 1395W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 200N 1425W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 200N 1425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 200N 1425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 130 120 105 80 60 50 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC