ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 138N 1289W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 138N 1289W 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 138N 1289W 64 72 10(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) 24 142N 1307W 34 34 54(88) 5(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) 24 142N 1307W 50 6 61(67) 8(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) 24 142N 1307W 64 1 42(43) 10(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) 36 146N 1323W 34 2 41(43) 31(74) 7(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83) 36 146N 1323W 50 X 15(15) 33(48) 7(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) 36 146N 1323W 64 X 5( 5) 21(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 48 150N 1339W 34 1 7( 8) 31(39) 19(58) 8(66) X(66) 1(67) 48 150N 1339W 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 14(29) 6(35) X(35) X(35) 48 150N 1339W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) 72 160N 1360W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 14(36) 4(40) X(40) 72 160N 1360W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13) 72 160N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 96 175N 1380W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 5(17) 1(18) 96 175N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 175N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 195N 1400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 120 195N 1400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 195N 1400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 120 110 95 80 60 45 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC