ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0300 UTC MON JUL 17 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 126N 1117W 34 30 16(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 12 126N 1117W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 126N 1117W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 128N 1139W 34 1 41(42) 13(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 24 128N 1139W 50 X 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 24 128N 1139W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 129N 1160W 34 X 7( 7) 39(46) 13(59) 4(63) X(63) X(63) 36 129N 1160W 50 X X( X) 13(13) 7(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) 36 129N 1160W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 129N 1179W 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 27(45) 15(60) 2(62) X(62) 48 129N 1179W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 9(24) 1(25) X(25) 48 129N 1179W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 130N 1210W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 29(39) 11(50) 3(53) 72 130N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) 1(20) 72 130N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 96 130N 1240W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 18(30) 6(36) 96 130N 1240W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 96 130N 1240W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 135N 1275W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 9(19) 120 135N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 135N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 45 55 65 75 75 70 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC