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HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0300 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 29(43) 1(44) X(44)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 50(51) 12(63) X(63) X(63)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 5(43) X(43) X(43)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 340N 605W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 340N 605W 50 67 14(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
12 340N 605W 64 32 9(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
24 372N 602W 34 4 78(82) 7(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
24 372N 602W 50 X 40(40) 10(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
24 372N 602W 64 X 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
36 420N 579W 34 X 2( 2) 61(63) 11(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
36 420N 579W 50 X X( X) 21(21) 9(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
36 420N 579W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 468N 535W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 11(63) X(63) X(63)
48 468N 535W 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24)
48 468N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 530N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 9(44) X(44)
72 530N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15)
72 530N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 560N 300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) X(24)
96 560N 300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
96 560N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 60 60 50 45 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 01-Oct-2006 02:55:02 UTC