ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 30 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) X(33) X(33)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 37(51) X(51) X(51)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) X(17)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 22(41) X(41) X(41)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) X(21) X(21)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BERMUDA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 326N 603W 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 326N 603W 50 84 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 326N 603W 64 54 10(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
24 350N 608W 34 14 74(88) 6(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 350N 608W 50 2 58(60) 10(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
24 350N 608W 64 X 30(30) 8(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
36 390N 600W 34 X 8( 8) 67(75) 8(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
36 390N 600W 50 X 1( 1) 37(38) 9(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
36 390N 600W 64 X X( X) 16(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
48 440N 568W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 50(53) 9(62) X(62) X(62)
48 440N 568W 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 6(25) X(25) X(25)
48 440N 568W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
72 520N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) X(28) X(28)
72 520N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 520N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 75 70 60 45 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 30-Sep-2006 20:40:01 UTC