ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 13(30) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 7(32) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 5(26) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) 1(28) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 297N 564W 34 82 6(88) 2(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 12 297N 564W 50 7 7(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 12 297N 564W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 305N 577W 34 30 38(68) 8(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 24 305N 577W 50 1 15(16) 8(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 24 305N 577W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 315N 590W 34 4 32(36) 27(63) 6(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) 36 315N 590W 50 X 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 36 315N 590W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 332N 600W 34 1 7( 8) 25(33) 19(52) 8(60) X(60) X(60) 48 332N 600W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22) 48 332N 600W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 395N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 9(43) 1(44) 72 395N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) 72 395N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 465N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 8(33) 96 465N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 96 465N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 120 490N 400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 120 490N 400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 120 490N 400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 50 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 29-Sep-2006 08:35:01 UTC