ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 350N 530W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 350N 530W 50 84 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 12 350N 530W 64 48 9(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 24 376N 485W 34 4 84(88) 5(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 24 376N 485W 50 X 50(50) 11(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 24 376N 485W 64 X 19(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 36 403N 430W 34 X 3( 3) 68(71) 9(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 36 403N 430W 50 X X( X) 33(33) 9(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) 36 403N 430W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 48 430N 376W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 48(53) 12(65) 1(66) X(66) 48 430N 376W 50 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 7(29) X(29) X(29) 48 430N 376W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 470N 300W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 10(53) 1(54) 72 470N 300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 5(21) X(21) 72 470N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 96 515N 220W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 7(40) 96 515N 220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) 96 515N 220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 120 580N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 120 580N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 120 580N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 70 65 60 60 60 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Sep-2006 09:00:02 UTC