ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 122N 307W 34 13 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 12 122N 307W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 122N 307W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 128N 340W 34 X 19(19) 9(28) X(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) 24 128N 340W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 24 128N 340W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 138N 370W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 10(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) 36 138N 370W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 138N 370W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 151N 396W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 11(39) 2(41) X(41) 48 151N 396W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) 1(13) 48 151N 396W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 180N 435W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 9(39) 2(41) 72 180N 435W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17) 72 180N 435W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 96 200N 465W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) 8(36) 96 200N 465W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 96 200N 465W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 220N 495W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) 120 220N 495W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 120 220N 495W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 50 60 70 80 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 13-Sep-2006 14:35:02 UTC