ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC WED SEP 13 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 122N 290W 34 14 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 12 122N 290W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 122N 290W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 128N 323W 34 X 19(19) 9(28) X(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) 24 128N 323W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 24 128N 323W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 137N 352W 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 10(35) 1(36) X(36) 1(37) 36 137N 352W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 36 137N 352W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 147N 379W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 10(35) 1(36) 1(37) 48 147N 379W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) 48 147N 379W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 175N 425W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 9(34) 3(37) 72 175N 425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 72 175N 425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 96 195N 450W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 15(25) 8(33) 96 195N 450W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 96 195N 450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 120 215N 475W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 11(25) 120 215N 475W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 120 215N 475W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 55 65 80 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 13-Sep-2006 08:40:02 UTC