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Hurricane GORDON (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 307N  549W 34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 307N  549W 50 87   6(93)   X(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 307N  549W 64 61  11(72)   1(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
 24 318N  539W 34 74  20(94)   2(96)   X(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 318N  539W 50 15  51(66)   6(72)   1(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 318N  539W 64  4  37(41)   7(48)   X(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
 36 326N  531W 34 18  56(74)  10(84)   3(87)   3(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 36 326N  531W 50  2  30(32)  20(52)   4(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 326N  531W 64  X  13(13)  16(29)   3(32)   X(32)   X(32)   1(33)
 
 48 336N  520W 34  2  29(31)  27(58)  10(68)   6(74)   2(76)   X(76)
 48 336N  520W 50  X   5( 5)  18(23)  11(34)   5(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 48 336N  520W 64  X   2( 2)   8(10)   7(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 
 72 355N  495W 34  X   2( 2)   8(10)  14(24)  21(45)   5(50)   X(50)
 72 355N  495W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  10(16)   3(19)   X(19)
 72 355N  495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
 
 96 395N  430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  18(22)   7(29)
 96 395N  430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)
 96 395N  430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 430N  330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
120 430N  330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
120 430N  330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    105     90      80      65      55      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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