ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 293N 563W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 293N 563W 50 87 6(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 293N 563W 64 59 15(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 24 310N 550W 34 42 51(93) 2(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 310N 550W 50 4 62(66) 6(72) 2(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76) 24 310N 550W 64 1 40(41) 8(49) 2(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) 36 317N 543W 34 8 71(79) 8(87) 3(90) 2(92) X(92) 1(93) 36 317N 543W 50 1 39(40) 18(58) 5(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66) 36 317N 543W 64 X 17(17) 16(33) 4(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39) 48 325N 535W 34 2 46(48) 21(69) 9(78) 4(82) 1(83) 1(84) 48 325N 535W 50 X 12(12) 21(33) 10(43) 6(49) 1(50) 1(51) 48 325N 535W 64 X 4( 4) 12(16) 8(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) 72 335N 520W 34 X 12(12) 23(35) 17(52) 12(64) 5(69) 1(70) 72 335N 520W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 12(31) 3(34) X(34) 72 335N 520W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 2(16) X(16) 96 370N 480W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 17(30) 5(35) 96 370N 480W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 2(13) 96 370N 480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 120 410N 400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 120 410N 400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 120 410N 400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 105 100 90 80 70 55 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 14-Sep-2006 02:50:02 UTC