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TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 246N 585W 34 92 4(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 246N 585W 50 53 14(67) 1(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
12 246N 585W 64 18 10(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 260N 585W 34 21 56(77) 8(85) 2(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88)
24 260N 585W 50 4 39(43) 11(54) 2(56) X(56) 1(57) X(57)
24 260N 585W 64 1 23(24) 9(33) 1(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
36 277N 585W 34 1 28(29) 38(67) 10(77) 4(81) X(81) 1(82)
36 277N 585W 50 X 8( 8) 29(37) 8(45) 4(49) X(49) X(49)
36 277N 585W 64 X 3( 3) 20(23) 6(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
48 295N 580W 34 X 4( 4) 31(35) 26(61) 13(74) 1(75) X(75)
48 295N 580W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 20(31) 9(40) 1(41) X(41)
48 295N 580W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) 1(22) X(22)
72 330N 560W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 36(49) 10(59) 1(60)
72 330N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 6(27) 1(28)
72 330N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16)
96 365N 520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 23(35) 6(41)
96 365N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16)
96 365N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
120 400N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22)
120 400N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
120 400N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 80 75 65 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Sep-2006 20:55:02 UTC