ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 244N 586W 34 88 5(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 244N 586W 50 41 18(59) 1(60) X(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) 12 244N 586W 64 4 7(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 258N 588W 34 24 53(77) 8(85) 2(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) 24 258N 588W 50 3 40(43) 11(54) 2(56) X(56) 1(57) X(57) 24 258N 588W 64 X 16(16) 9(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 36 274N 588W 34 2 36(38) 32(70) 9(79) 3(82) 1(83) X(83) 36 274N 588W 50 X 8( 8) 32(40) 7(47) 3(50) 1(51) X(51) 36 274N 588W 64 X 2( 2) 16(18) 6(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) 48 290N 585W 34 1 8( 9) 35(44) 20(64) 10(74) 1(75) 1(76) 48 290N 585W 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 18(33) 8(41) 2(43) X(43) 48 290N 585W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 4(20) 2(22) X(22) 72 320N 575W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 29(52) 9(61) 2(63) 72 320N 575W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 19(24) 6(30) 1(31) 72 320N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) 96 350N 545W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 23(40) 6(46) 96 350N 545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 4(20) 96 350N 545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 120 391N 490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 14(24) 120 391N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 120 391N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 65 75 75 75 70 60 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER COBB/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Sep-2006 14:40:02 UTC