ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 2(17) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 230N 587W 34 56 19(75) 1(76) 1(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) 12 230N 587W 50 36 18(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 12 230N 587W 64 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 245N 595W 34 3 58(61) 13(74) 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) 24 245N 595W 50 1 38(39) 12(51) 2(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) 24 245N 595W 64 X 13(13) 9(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 36 260N 600W 34 X 20(20) 40(60) 10(70) 6(76) 1(77) X(77) 36 260N 600W 50 X 7( 7) 30(37) 8(45) 3(48) 1(49) X(49) 36 260N 600W 64 X 2( 2) 16(18) 6(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) 48 276N 600W 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 24(57) 11(68) 3(71) X(71) 48 276N 600W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 18(30) 8(38) 2(40) X(40) 48 276N 600W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) 72 300N 595W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 27(51) 8(59) 2(61) 72 300N 595W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 16(24) 6(30) 2(32) 72 300N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) X(15) 96 330N 575W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 19(39) 8(47) 96 330N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 3(20) 96 330N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 120 370N 520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 15(24) 120 370N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 120 370N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 65 75 75 75 70 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Sep-2006 02:40:01 UTC