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Hurricane RITA (Text)

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HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
KEY WEST AND DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EAST AND NORTH TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  83.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  60SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  83.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  82.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.2N  85.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.4N  87.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  85SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.6N  89.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.1N  91.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.1N  94.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N  96.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N  83.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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