ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST SUN AUG 15 2004 ...EARL REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...805 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE LAST RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IN THE STORM INDICATED THAT EARL WAS HAVING DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING A CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION. TOMORROW'S RECONNAISSANCE MISSION MAY FIND THAT EARL HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. HOWEVER...IF EARL IS ABLE TO MAINTAIN A CIRCULATION...THEN SLOW STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 65.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 16-Aug-2004 02:42:23 UTC