ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON SEP 13 2004 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT THU SEP 16 2004 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 22.5N 86.0W 40 X X X 40 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 7 8 24.2N 87.1W 7 21 X 1 29 ST MARKS FL X X 1 9 10 26.0N 87.5W X 15 7 1 23 APALACHICOLA FL X X 2 10 12 MUSN 216N 826W 33 X X X 33 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 11 13 MUHA 230N 824W 4 3 1 1 9 PENSACOLA FL X X 2 12 14 MUAN 219N 850W 56 X X X 56 MOBILE AL X X 2 12 14 MMCZ 205N 869W 21 X X X 21 GULFPORT MS X X 3 11 14 MMMD 210N 897W 1 2 X 1 4 BURAS LA X X 7 9 16 MARATHON FL X X 1 3 4 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 4 10 14 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X 2 10 12 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 7 7 FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X X 6 6 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 5 5 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 3 3 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W X X 3 10 13 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X 8 8 16 KEY WEST FL X 1 2 2 5 GULF 28N 89W X 1 13 5 19 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 91W X X 9 6 15 FT MYERS FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 93W X X 3 7 10 VENICE FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 95W X X X 5 5 TAMPA FL X X 1 7 8 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER LAWRENCE $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 13-Sep-2004 08:43:29 UTC