ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 30 2004 THE LATEST SATELLITE T NUMBER INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 2.0 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB OR 30 KTS. ALSO...THE LATEST QUICK SCAT WIND ESTIMATES SHOW THAT THERE IS ONLY ONE 35 KNOT OBSERVATION IN A LARGE FIELD OF 30 KNOT WINDS. THUS...GEORGETTE IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED WITH ALL OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION WEST OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS...DISSIPATES IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...AND BECOMES A REMNANT LOW. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 20.1N 124.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 30/1800Z 20.3N 125.4W 30 KT 24HR VT 31/0600Z 20.6N 127.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 31/1800Z 20.8N 129.4W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 01/0600Z 21.0N 131.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 02/0600Z 21.0N 136.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 03/0600Z 21.0N 140.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 30-Aug-2004 08:33:48 UTC