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Tropical Depression TWO-E (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT FRI JUL 02 2004
 
THE CONVECTION REMAINS NOT VERY WELL ORGANIZED AND THE INITIAL WIND
SPEED IS KEPT AT 25 KNOTS.  WITH COOLER WATER AHEAD...ALL GUIDANCE
MODELS FORECAST GRADUAL WEAKENING.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/08.  GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND BECOMES STEERED BY LOWER
LEVEL FLOW.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      03/0300Z 17.3N 121.5W    25 KT
 12HR VT     03/1200Z 17.5N 122.8W    25 KT
 24HR VT     04/0000Z 17.5N 124.9W    25 KT
 36HR VT     04/1200Z 17.5N 127.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     05/0000Z 17.4N 129.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     06/0000Z 17.0N 132.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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