000 ABNT30 KNHC 011911 TWSAT MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EST SAT NOV 1 2003 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... FOUR TROPICAL CYCLONES OCCURRED DURING THE MONTH OF OCTOBER... MAJOR HURRICANE KATE COMPLETED ITS LIFE CYCLE IN OCTOBER...WHILE TROPICAL STORMS LARRY...MINDY..AND NICHOLAS DEVELOPED AND DISSIPATED DURING THE MONTH. THIS COMPARES TO LONG TERM AVERAGES OF ABOUT ONE TROPICAL STORM AND ONE HURRICANE FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER. HURRICANE KATE...WHICH FORMED ON 25 SEPTEMBER...TURNED SHARPLY WESTWARD OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC WHILE STRENGTHENING INTO A HURRICANE AT THE BEGINNING OF OCTOBER. KATE CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND IT REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY OF 125 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 640 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA ON 4 OCTOBER. THE HURRICANE THEN BEGAN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND TURN FROM A WESTWARD TO A NORTHWARD HEADING. ON 6-8 OCTOBER...KATE ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKENED JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. IT LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ABOUT 370 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ON 8 OCTOBER. THE POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM CONTINUED ACROSS THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC AND MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR NORWAY ON 10 OCTOBER. LARRY DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA ON 17 SEPTEMBER. THE WAVE MOVED WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY UNTIL IT REACHED THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON 27 SEPTEMBER WHEN A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND EMERGED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND BAY OF CAMPECHE ON 30 SEPTEMBER...WHERE IT ALSO BEGAN TO INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP AND GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE BROAD CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM LARRY FORMED ON 1 OCTOBER ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO. LARRY MEANDERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FOR TWO DAYS AND SLOWLY STRENGTHENED TO 60 MPH. LARRY BEGAN A SLOW SOUTHWARD DRIFT TOWARD MEXICO ON 4 OCTOBER AND MADE LANDFALL EARLY ON THE NEXT DAY. DISSIPATION OCCURRED EARLY ON 6 OCTOBER OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. THERE WERE FIVE DEATHS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY. MINDY ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE. IT BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON 10 OCTOBER NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE STORM MOVED NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD FOR TWO DAYS WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH. ON 12 OCTOBER IT TURNED EASTWARD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES...WHILE WEAKENING TO A DEPRESSION UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION DEGENERATED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS EARLY ON 14 OCTOBER WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA. MINDY PASSED NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS ON 11 OCTOBER BUT HEAVY RAIN AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REMAINED TO THE EAST OF THESE ISLANDS. MINDY DID PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR A FEW DAYS. NICHOLAS FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT MOVED WESTWARD FROM THE COAST OF AFRICA ON 9 OCTOBER. THE WAVE SPAWNED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE 13TH ABOUT 1030 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...THE DEPRESSION BECOME TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS EARLY ON THE 15TH. NICHOLAS REACHED A PEAK INTENSITY OF 70 MPH ON THE 17TH AS IT TURNED NORTHWESTWARD. A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON THE 18TH WAS FOLLWED BY A SLOW GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION FROM THE 19TH TO THE 22ND. VERTICAL SHEAR CAUSED NICHOLAS TO WEAKEN DURING THAT TIME...AND IT FURTHER WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION AS IT TURNED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ON THE 23RD. THE DEPRESSION BECAME A REMNANT LOW LATER THAT DAY ABOUT 570 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE LOW HAS BEEN MEANDERING AROUND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SINCE THAT TIME...AND AS OF THIS WRITING IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA. SO FAR...THERE ARE NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE OR CASUALTIES FROM NICHOLAS. SUMMARY TABLE - OCTOBER 2003 NAME DATES MAX WIND - MPH DEATHS ---------------------------------------------------------------- H KATE 25 SEP - 7 OCT 125 0 TS LARRY 1-6 OCT 60 5 TS MINDY 10-14 OCT 45 0 TS NICHOLAS 13-23 OCT 70 0 ---------------------------------------------------------------- NOTE...DATES ARE BASED ON UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME...UTC FORECASTER AVILA/BEVEN/LAWRENCE/PASCH/STEWART
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:29 UTC