ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003 ...ERIKA CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD.... ...AND IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN... AT 4 AM CDT...090Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST FROM PORT O'CONNOR SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE.. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM THE RIO GRANDE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO SOTO LA MARINA AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW RECOMMENDED FOR THIS AREA. AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...805 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE. ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS OR NORTHEAST MEXICO ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IF THE STRENGTHENING OCCURS AS FORECAST...HURRICANE WARNINGS COULD REPLACE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...26.3 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:04 UTC