| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm FELICIA (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003
 
THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF LIMITED DEEP
CONVECTION. FELICIA IS HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS AND DRIER AIR AND
ALTHOUGH IT MAY STILL DEVELOP INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...
A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS INDICATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 
 
FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 KNOTS AROUND THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE STEERING PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE
SO FELICIA SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK OR WEST-NORTHWEST
UNTIL DISSIPATION.

FORECASTER AVILA/BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      19/2100Z 15.6N 118.2W    35 KT
 12HR VT     20/0600Z 15.8N 120.3W    35 KT
 24HR VT     20/1800Z 16.0N 123.0W    35 KT
 36HR VT     21/0600Z 16.5N 126.0W    30 KT
 48HR VT     21/1800Z 17.5N 129.0W    25 KT
 72HR VT     22/1800Z 19.5N 135.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 96HR VT     23/1800Z 21.0N 139.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     24/1800Z 23.0N 144.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
NNNN