ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE KATE DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN OCT 05 2003 AFTER A LITTLE BIT OF EROSION ON THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE...LATEST IMAGES INDICATE THAT KATE HAS REDEVELOPED A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE EYE. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN SUGGESTS THAT WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 95 KNOTS. KATE SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY AS THE SHEAR INCREASES AND THE CYCLONE ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATER. THERE IS NOTHING NEW TO REPORT ON THE TRACK. KATE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH IN ABOUT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN BECOME STEERED BY THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A TROUGH. IT SHOULD THEN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY 72 HOURS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 30.6N 55.8W 95 KT 12HR VT 05/1800Z 31.3N 56.6W 95 KT 24HR VT 06/0600Z 34.0N 57.0W 90 KT 36HR VT 06/1800Z 37.0N 56.0W 85 KT 48HR VT 07/0600Z 42.0N 53.5W 75 KT 72HR VT 08/0600Z 53.0N 39.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 09/0600Z 60.0N 20.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 10/0600Z 60.0N 5.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:00 UTC