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High Seas Forecast (Tropical Northeast Pacific)


000
FZPN03 KNHC 082127
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU OCT 08 2026

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 15.7N 103.9W 992 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 08 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 4 M OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER... 
EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. 
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 106W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 16.1N 104.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 16.8N 104.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER...120 NM NW AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 
100W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 18.8N 104.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 102 AND 109W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M 
IN MIXED SWELL.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 22.4N 124.6W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 08 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 
NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 17N TO 
28N BETWEEN 119W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 23.0N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...70 NM NW QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N 
BETWEEN 122W AND 128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. 
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 18N TO 30N BETWEEN 121W AND 137W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 26.2N 119.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM 
SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 27N BETWEEN 
116W AND 122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA FROM 16N TO 27N BETWEEN 116W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M 
IN SW SWELL. S OF 00N W OF 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 
M IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N W OF 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 
TO 3.0 M IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N W OF 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 
TO 3.0 M IN SW SWELL. FROM 00N TO 01N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN SW SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 127W AND 132W N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU OCT 8...

.TROPICAL STORM SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 
14N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W.

.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 09N90W TO 12N95W...THEN 
RESUMES S OF T.S. RACHEL NEAR 13N125W TO BEYOND 11N140W. IN ADDITION 
TO THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH RACHEL AND SIMON, SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION CAN BE FOUND FROM 00N TO 08N 
E OF 90W... FROM 03N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W...AND FROM 00N TO 
11N W OF 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.