968
FZPN03 KNHC 101530
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT OCT 10 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 12.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 17.4N 104.8W 938 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 10 MOVING
N OR 350 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 19N
BETWEEN 101 AND 109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER
OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 101W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 19.1N 105.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W
WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 20N
BETWEEN 101W AND 107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 111W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON INLAND NEAR 21.7N 105.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W WITH SEAS TO 7.0 M.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 102W AND 107W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 15N
TO 21N BETWEEN 102W AND 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M
IN MIXED SWELL.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 25.5N 119.6W 992 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 10
MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 19 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM
SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 7.0 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 27N BETWEEN 117W AND 124W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 18N TO 27N
BETWEEN 117W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL RACHEL N OF AREA NEAR 33.0N 115.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N
BETWEEN 114W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4.0 TO 4.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 18N BETWEEN 112W
AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL RACHEL NEAR 38.5N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.S OF 00N W OF 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N W OF 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 105W AND 112W...AND S OF 02N
BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.N OF 18N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0
M PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF A KINE FROM 28N120W TO 22N131W TO 26N140W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF A LINE FROM 30N116W TO 25N120W TO 22N128W TO
24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M PRIMARILY IN NW
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M N OF 30N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M N OF 30N.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT OCT 10...
.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W.
.T.S. RACHEL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 27N TO
30N E OF 121W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N82W TO 10N97W...THEN RESUMES NEAR
13N120W TO BEYOND 10N140W. IN ADDITION TO THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH RACHEL AND SIMON...SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 10N E OF 130W TO THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA...AND FROM 01N TO 11N W OF 130W.
$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.