000
FZPN03 KNHC 312214
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 31 2026

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP  1.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP  2.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 17.5N 125.8W 950 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 31
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N123W TO 21N125W TO 
22N127W TO 18N129W TO 14N125W TO 16N123W TO 19N123W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 7.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N119W TO 
30N121W TO 26N133W TO 20N136W TO 13N131W TO 11N123W TO 20N119W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.1N 129.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR 
GREATER 240 NM IN NW QUADRANT...180 NM IN NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM IN SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11 M. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N129W TO 23N132W TO 19N133W TO 17N132W TO 
16N128W TO 19N126W TO 23N129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 6.5 
M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N128W TO 24N140W TO 17N140W TO 
12N131W TO 13N126W TO 19N124W TO 26N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 18.9N 133.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER 240 NM IN NW QUADRANT...180 NM IN 
NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM IN SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10 
M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N132W TO 24N137W TO 21N137W TO 18N135W TO 
18N131W TO 25N132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 7.0 M. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N129W TO 27N140W TO 11N140W TO 09N137W
TO 10N129W TO 18N128W TO 26N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW PRESSURE NEAR 13N107W 1005 MB LOW. WITHIN 17N104W TO 
18N108W TO 16N111W TO 10N110W TO 09N107W TO 11N105W TO 17N104W WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
NEAR 14N109W 1001 MB. WITHIN 14N108W TO 14N109W TO 13N109W TO 
13N108W TO 14N108W WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4.0 TO 5.5 M. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N106W TO 19N109W TO 16N113W TO 09N110W TO 
11N106W TO 18N106W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...15N110W 994 MB. WITHIN 15N109W TO 16N109W TO 15N111W 
TO 14N110W TO 14N109W TO 15N109W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 
7.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N106W TO 20N112W TO 17N115W TO 10N111W
TO 10N107W TO 18N106W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...16N111W 990 MB. WITHIN 17N111W TO 16N112W TO 15N111W 
TO 15N110W TO 17N111W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 5.5 TO 7.0 M. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N110W TO 17N112W TO 16N112W TO 15N111W TO 
15N110W TO 17N110W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 4.5 TO 5.5 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N108W TO 21N113W TO 18N116W TO 
14N115W TO 11N111W TO 13N106W TO 21N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO 
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESSURE...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...17N113W 990 MB. WITHIN 17N112W TO 18N112W TO 18N113W 
TO 17N113W TO 17N112W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 6.0 TO 7.5 M. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N111W TO 18N113W TO 17N114W TO 16N113W TO 
17N111W TO 18N111W WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5.0 TO 6.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 22N108W TO 22N114W TO 17N118W TO 
11N112W TO 15N106W TO 22N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 5.0 M.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S118W TO 01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S116W TO 02S118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01N108W TO 02N128W TO 00N135W TO
01S120W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S106W TO 01N108W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC MON AUG 31...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM COASTAL PANAMA AT 08N82W TO 
12N117W. AFTER ENDING SOUTHEAST OF KARINA, THE MONSOON TROUGH 
RESUMES AGAIN FROM 09N131W TO BEYOND 08N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 06N-17N BETWEEN
98W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
NOTED FROM 05N-10N BETWEEN 90W-97W, NORTH OF 05N BETWEEN 81W-88W,
AND FROM 04N-10W BETWEEN 116W-130W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.