201
FZPN03 KNHC 151602
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU OCT 15 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 17.
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 13.1N 101.6W 975 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 15
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M.
ELSEWHERE....WITHIN 14N99W TO 16N102W TO 14N103W TO 13N103W TO
11N102W TO 12N100W TO 14N99W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N99W TO 16N101W TO 15N105W TO
12N105W TO 10N104W TO 10N101W TO 14N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 14.6N 102.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 9.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N99W TO 17N100W TO
16N104W TO 13N103W TO 12N101W TO 14N99W TO 16N99W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 13N99W TO
13N104W TO 17N101W TO 17N108W TO 12N109W TO 08N102W TO
13N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TRUDY NEAR 16.7N 103.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM ALL QUADRANTS
EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.0 M. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN
17N100W TO 19N104W TO 18N105W TO 15N105W TO 14N102W TO 15N100W
TO 17N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF
AREA...WITHIN 16N99W TO 15N105W TO 21N108W TO 14N113W TO 10N110W
TO 10N103W TO 16N99W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 19.2N 108.1W 996 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT
15 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 20N108W TO 20N109W TO 19N109W TO 18N109W TO
18N108W TO 19N108W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0
M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 19N107W TO 20N108W TO 20N110W TO
18N110W TO 17N108W TO 18N107W TO 19N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES.. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 20.2N 108.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. RADIUS
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 4 M OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 20N108W TO 21N109W TO 20N109W TO 20N108W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN
21N108W TO 21N109W TO 20N110W TO 18N109W TO 18N108W TO 19N107W TO
21N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 21.9N 111.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 22N111W TO 23N112W TO 22N112W
TO 22N111W TO 22N110W TO 22N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 22N110W TO 23N111W TO 23N112W
TO 21N112W TO 21N111W TO 21N110W TO 22N110W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60
NM OF SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED
SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 31N115W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 28N113W TO 29N112W TO
30N113W TO 31N115W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N115W TO
30N114W TO 31N114W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
.WITHIN 00N110W TO 04N111W TO 02N115W TO 00N128W TO 03.4S120W TO
03.4S102W TO 00N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 00N108W TO 00N110W TO 01S115W TO
03.4S115W TO 03.4S102W TO 00N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S107W TO 01N110W TO 00N112W TO
03.4S115W TO 03.4S108W TO 01S107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN S TO SW SWELL.
.33 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO
15N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W TO
16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU OCT 15...
.HURRICANE TRUDY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
.T.S. SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND
109W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N83W TO 12N94W AND FROM 10N103W TO
03N117W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N117W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 01N TO 08N BETWEEN 103W AND 117W.
$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.