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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 31 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Satellite-derived wind data
indicate that this system is developing a low-level circulation, and
a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so.
The system is forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward
during the next few days, likely remaining a few hundred miles off
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern
coast of Mexico by late this week. Gradual development of this
system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form
by early next week while the disturbance moves westward or
west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Pasch