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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hilda, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical
Depression Ignacio, located more than 400 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical
Depression Nine-E is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the
associated shower activity is currently limited, it continues to
show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next
couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight
or Wednesday while the system moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, the system is
forecast to move over cooler waters and further development by that
time is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development
thereafter while the system remains offshore and moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Stewart