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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 29 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure located about 875 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions
are only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this
system is expected over the next several days and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week. The disturbance is
forecast to move slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at
5 to 10 mph, toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward
Islands. Additional information on this system can be found in high
seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
2. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a small low pressure system
located about 600 miles east of Bermuda remains limited. Strong
upper-level winds and dry air are expected to prevent development
while the system drifts south-southwestward over the next day or
so. The system is likely to dissipate later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure is
located near the west coast of Africa. This system is forecast to
move offshore tonight, and some gradual development is possible
over the next few days while it moves generally westward to
west-northwestward. The system could become a short-lived
tropical depression over the far eastern Atlantic waters during
the next few days. By late this week, the disturbance is forecast
to move over cooler waters and further development is not likely
after that time. Regardless of development, the system could
bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands by Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
4. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea later this week. The system however, is likely to
move inland over Central America or the southern portion of
the Yucatan Peninsula before significant development can occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Brown