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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with
a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the early to middle part of this
week. This system is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph over
the tropical Atlantic, approach the Windward Islands on Tuesday, and
move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Wednesday and
Thursday. Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2. Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from
southeastern Louisiana across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and
the Florida peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure.
Slow development of this system could occur as it drifts westward
across the northern Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Blake/Bucci