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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 13 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fernanda, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. Western East Pacific (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized in
association with an area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for continued development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next day or so as it moves
westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is
forecast to cross into the Central Pacific basin late tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern portion of the east
Pacific. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development
during the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected
to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward,
roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Reinhart