ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM OTIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182023
1500 UTC MON OCT 23 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  97.5W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  97.5W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  97.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 12.6N  97.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.6N  98.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.6N  98.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N  99.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.2N  99.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  97.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 23/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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