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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 100.7W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 100.7W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.3N 101.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.1N 101.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.9N 101.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.9N 101.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.0N 101.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 100.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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