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BULLETIN
Hurricane Lidia Advisory Number  32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP152023
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2023
 
...HURRICANE LIDIA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 104.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for
the Pacific coast of west-central Mexico from El Roblito to San
Blas and Las Islas Marias.
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning 
for the Pacific coast of west-central Mexico from El Roblito to 
Mazatlan.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to San Blas
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lidia was located 
near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 104.7 West. Lidia is moving 
toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a slightly 
faster east-northeastward motion is expected through tonight. On the 
forecast track, the center of Lidia will continue moving inland 
over west-central Mexico tonight and Wednesday morning.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Rapid weakening is expected as Lidia moves inland tonight 
and Wednesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lidia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP5.shtml
 
RAINFALL:  Lidia is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8
inches with local maxima of 12 inches through Wednesday across the
state of Nayarit, southern portions of the state of Sinaloa, and
coastal portions of the state of Jalisco in western Mexico. These
rains will likely produce flash and urban flooding, along with
possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain near the coast.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the south of where Lidia
made landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by
large and destructive waves.
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are occurring in portions of 
west-central Mexico within the hurricane warning area. Tropical 
storm conditions are occuring in portions of the tropical storm 
warning areas.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Lidia will affect the west coast of
Mexico and the Baja California peninsula for the next day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci
 
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