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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.1N 112.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.9N 112.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  90SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.3N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.9N 103.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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