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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152023
2100 UTC SAT OCT 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 112.5W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE 110SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 112.5W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.6N 112.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.4N 112.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  90SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.2N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.8N 111.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.3N 107.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 22.9N 103.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BERG
 
 
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